考虑多重决策心理的海岛孤网调度博弈组合评价
作者:
作者单位:

上海交通大学

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

TM 712

基金项目:

上海市科委项目(13231204002)


Game Combination Evaluation of Island Isolated Microgrid Dispatch Considering Multiple Decision Psychology
Author:
Affiliation:

Department of Electrical Engineering,Shanghai Jiao Tong University,Minhang District,Shanghai City 200240

Fund Project:

Project supported by the Shanghai Committee of Science and Technology, China(13231204002).

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    摘要:

    为解决能源供应问题,偏远海岛可构建风-光-海水抽蓄型微电网。本文主要研究该结构的离网型海岛日前调度综合评价问题。首先,考虑经济、环保、技术和可靠性等因素,提出了一套海岛调度的评价指标体系。其次,利用改进博弈组合赋权模型,将直觉模糊层次分析法的主观权重与改进熵权法的客观权重融合为最优权重。再其次,构建基于合作博弈与改进累积前景理论的灰色关联分析-逐次逼近理想解法的组合评价模型,并从实际运行出发,考虑多重决策心理对评价结果的影响。最后,以EI Hierro海岛为算例,验证了评价模型的可行性和有效性,对海岛微电网的工程实践具有指导意义。

    Abstract:

    In order to work out the problem about power supply, microgrid systems based on wind-solar-seawater pumped storage can be built in isolated islands. The paper mainly does research on the comprehensive evaluation problem for day-ahead dispatch of off-grid islands about the structure. Firstly, considering economic, environmental, technical and reliability factors, a set of evaluation index system for island dispatching is proposed. Secondly, the subjective weight of the intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy process method and the objective weight of the improved entropy weight method are integrated into the optimal weight by using the improved theory combination weighting model. Thirdly, a grey relational analysis - technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution combination evaluation model based on cooperative game and improved cumulative prospect theory is constructed, and the effect of multiple decision-making psychology on the evaluation results is considered from the perspective of practical operation. Finally, taking EI Hierro island as an example, the feasibility and validity of the evaluation model is verified, which is of guiding significance to the engineering practice of island microgrid.

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2020-12-22
  • 最后修改日期:2021-04-06
  • 录用日期:2021-04-07
  • 在线发布日期: 2021-04-26
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